Plan for the load ahead
Forecast demand by period and segment to examine where the operating plan may fall short
Make maintenance a considered choice
Review asset condition and maintenance history to identify equipment that may need attention
See where disruption could spread
Examine equipment and weather-related outage risk with the evidence behind each warning
Weigh the next operating plan
Compare supply, demand and asset constraints before deciding how to use available capacity
Define what a better outcome looks like
Where could demand or equipment condition put the operating plan under pressure?
- Start with a fair comparison
- Choose an asset group or demand horizon and compare predictions with the planning baseline under comparable operating conditions
- Keep the decision in view
- Inspect the signals behind the largest demand gaps or asset warnings and record maintenance and planning decisions
- Measure the result
- Track demand forecast error, missed asset events, false alarms and warning lead time. Review unplanned downtime against operating conditions and actions taken